Bucknell
W-L: (10-20) PR = 92.4076Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H Penn St B10 (11-19, 95.5) 55-83 1109 H Virginia ACC (21-13, 96.1) 35-80 1112 A Mt St Marys MAAC (14-16, 92.2) 49-45 1116 H Youngstown St HL (23-10, 94.4) 53-60 1122 A Hofstra CA (11-22, 92.5) 61-55 1128 H Brown IVY (14-11, 94.1) 50-61 1201 H UAlbany AE (12-17, 93.0) 62-65 1205 H Vermont AE (25- 8, 94.7) 48-64 1207 H Dartmouth IVY ( 7-17, 92.5) 45-53 1220 A GWYME **-26 1231 H Holy Cross PAT H (23-11, 94.1) 55-58 103 H Lehigh PAT L (17-16, 93.4) 43-74 107 H Navy PAT (22- 9, 94.1) 51-77 110 H Loyola-MD PAT L (13-18, 92.8) 46-49 114 H Lafayette PAT L (12-18, 92.5) 49-62 114 H Lafayette PAT L (12-18, 92.5) 49-62 117 A Colgate PAT ( 6-25, 91.9) 46-43 121 H Army PAT (26- 7, 94.4) 44-64 124 A Loyola-MD PAT L (13-18, 92.8) 54-45 128 H Lafayette PAT L (12-18, 92.5) 56-65 131 A Boston Univ PAT (12-20, 92.6) 62-51 204 A American PAT ( 7-24, 92.0) 58-45 207 A Colgate PAT ( 6-25, 91.9) 50-41 211 H Navy PAT (22- 9, 94.1) 43-66 214 H Boston Univ PAT (12-20, 92.6) 54-68 218 A American PAT ( 7-24, 92.0) 58-45 221 H Holy Cross PAT H (23-11, 94.1) 41-63 228 A Lehigh PAT L (17-16, 93.4) 57-45 304 H Army PAT (26- 7, 94.4) 43-56 307 H Colgate PAT ( 6-25, 91.9) 47-57
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H Penn St 55-83 -28 -3 0.00
1109 H Virginia 35-80 -45 -4 0.00
1112 A Mt St Marys 49-45 4 0 1.79
1116 H Youngstown St 53-60 -7 -2 -0.02
1122 A Hofstra 61-55 6 0 + 2.14
1128 H Brown 50-61 -11 -2 -0.28
1201 H UAlbany 62-65 -3 -1 -1.41
1205 H Vermont 48-64 -16 -2 0.00
1207 H Dartmouth 45-53 -8 0 -1.91
1231 H Holy Cross 55-58 -3 -2 -0.32
103 H Lehigh 43-74 -31 -1 -1.01
107 H Navy 51-77 -26 -2 -0.34
110 H Loyola-MD 46-49 -3 0 -1.65
114 H Lafayette 49-62 -13 0 -1.89
114 H Lafayette 49-62 -13 0 -1.89
117 A Colgate 46-43 3 1 1.47
121 H Army 44-64 -20 -2 0.00
124 A Loyola-MD 54-45 9 0 + 2.37
128 H Lafayette 56-65 -9 0 -1.89
131 A Boston Univ 62-51 11 0 + 2.16
204 A American 58-45 13 0 1.63
207 A Colgate 50-41 9 1 1.47
211 H Navy 43-66 -23 -2 -0.34
214 H Boston Univ 54-68 -14 0 -1.86
218 A American 58-45 13 0 1.63
221 H Holy Cross 41-63 -22 -2 -0.32
228 A Lehigh 57-45 12 -1 + 3.01
304 H Army 43-56 -13 -2 0.00
307 H Colgate 47-57 -10 1 - -2.55
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 H Colgate 47-57 -10 1 - -2.55 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1122 A Hofstra 61-55 6 0 + 2.14 124 A Loyola-MD 54-45 9 0 + 2.37 131 A Boston Univ 62-51 11 0 + 2.16 228 A Lehigh 57-45 12 -1 + 3.01 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Penn St (11-19, 95.5) 55-83 -4.43 6.53 -0.01 1.05 -2.32
3 H Virginia (21-13, 96.1) 35-80 -3.77 7.19 -0.01 1.05 -1.98
3 A Mt St Marys (14-16, 92.2) 49-45 -7.71 3.25 0.01 1.05 6.82
3 H Youngstown St (23-10, 94.4) 53-60 -5.50 5.46 -0.01 1.05 -2.88
3 A Hofstra (11-22, 92.5) 61-55 -7.36 3.60 0.01 1.05 7.55
3 H Brown (14-11, 94.1) 50-61 -5.76 5.20 -0.01 1.05 -3.02
3 H UAlbany (12-17, 93.0) 62-65 -6.89 4.07 -0.01 1.05 -3.61
3 H Vermont (25- 8, 94.7) 48-64 -5.20 5.76 -0.01 1.05 -2.73
3 H Dartmouth ( 7-17, 92.5) 45-53 -7.39 3.57 -0.01 1.05 -3.87
3 H Holy Cross (23-11, 94.1) 55-58 -5.80 5.16 -0.01 1.05 -3.04
3 H Lehigh (17-16, 93.4) 43-74 -6.49 4.47 -0.01 1.05 -3.40
3 H Navy (22- 9, 94.1) 51-77 -5.82 5.14 -0.01 1.05 -3.05
3 H Loyola-MD (13-18, 92.8) 46-49 -7.13 3.83 -0.01 1.05 -3.74
3 H Lafayette (12-18, 92.5) 49-62 -7.37 3.59 -0.01 1.05 -3.86
3 H Lafayette (12-18, 92.5) 49-62 -7.37 3.59 -0.01 1.05 -3.86
3 A Colgate ( 6-25, 91.9) 46-43 -8.03 2.93 0.01 1.05 6.15
3 H Army (26- 7, 94.4) 44-64 -5.47 5.49 -0.01 1.05 -2.87
3 A Loyola-MD (13-18, 92.8) 54-45 -7.13 3.83 0.01 1.05 8.04
3 H Lafayette (12-18, 92.5) 56-65 -7.37 3.59 -0.01 1.05 -3.86
3 A Boston Univ (12-20, 92.6) 62-51 -7.34 3.62 0.01 1.05 7.59
3 A American ( 7-24, 92.0) 58-45 -7.88 3.08 0.01 1.05 6.48
3 A Colgate ( 6-25, 91.9) 50-41 -8.03 2.93 0.01 1.05 6.15
3 H Navy (22- 9, 94.1) 43-66 -5.82 5.14 -0.01 1.05 -3.05
3 H Boston Univ (12-20, 92.6) 54-68 -7.34 3.62 -0.01 1.05 -3.85
3 A American ( 7-24, 92.0) 58-45 -7.88 3.08 0.01 1.05 6.48
3 H Holy Cross (23-11, 94.1) 41-63 -5.80 5.16 -0.01 1.05 -3.04
3 A Lehigh (17-16, 93.4) 57-45 -6.49 4.47 0.01 1.05 9.37
3 H Army (26- 7, 94.4) 43-56 -5.47 5.49 -0.01 1.05 -2.87
3 H Colgate ( 6-25, 91.9) 47-57 -8.03 2.93 -0.01 1.05 -4.21
------
-0.49
|
winning pts = 64.6173 losing points = -65.1090
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------